Is there a hotter team than the Bills in the NFL? Uh uh.
Buffalo has been money in the bank, rolling in with a gorgeous 8-0 spread. The Bills have won six in row straight up, and won by an average of almost 20 points per game.
As for my best bet, you know that we’ve been best betting Baltimore the last couple of weeks, so, why stop now?
Here is how the staff and I see round 1 of the playoffs.
Gotta start each selection with some vital spread stats, just in case you have not had the time. Looking at the Bills, they were 13-3 straight up and 11-5 against the spread. They were 6-2 ATS at home and 7-4 as a favorite. They went Over 11 times and Under 4 with one push (5-3 to the Over at home).
The Colts were 11-5 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. They were 5-3 ATS on the road and 0-1 as an underdog. They went Over 9 times and Under 7 (6-2 to the Over away).
Is there a hotter team in the NFL? Uh uh. Buffalo has been money in the bank, rolling in with a gorgeous 8-0 spread perfecto. The Bills have won six in row straight up, and won by an average of almost 20 points per game. Nothing against Old Man Rivers, but Philip ain’t in the same zip code as the Buffs QB Josh Allen. Looked at Indy’s schedule, and yeah, they closed with four wins in the last five games, but beating Houston (4-12) twice, Las Vegas (8-8) and Jacksonville (1-15) does not really sing upset. We have been circling the wagons with the Bills the last month and a half, and gonna keep riding the big arm of Allen.
Staff picks:
Checking in on the Seahawks, they were 12-4 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. They were 6-2 ATS at home and 7-7 as a favorite. They went Over 7 times and Under 9 (3-5 to the Under at home).
The Rams were 10-6 straight up and 9-7 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS on the road and 3-2 as an underdog. They went Under 12 times and Over 4 (4-4 to the Under away).
Sadly, Seattle’s crazed fans, the famous 12th Man, will not be a factor, but Russell Wilson will. And so will the Seahawks defense. Everyone is starry-eyed when it comes to the Rams D, and rightly so. They led the NFL in both total defense and points allowed this season, but check out Seattle. Since Buffalo dropped 44 on ‘em back in early November, they have allowed just 15 points per game. These NFC West rivals spilt this season, with the Rams posting a 23-16 win at home and the ‘Hawks coming back with a 20-9 W in Seattle. This is all about Ciara’s husband, ‘cause he’s just better than Jared Goff.
Staff picks:
Looking at Washington, they were 7-9 straight up and 8-7-1 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS at home and 7-5-1 as an underdog. They went Over 5 times and Under 10 with one push (2-5-1 to the Under at home).
The Bucs were 11-5 straight up and 9-7 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS on the road and 7-6 as a favorite. They went Over 9 times and Under 7 (5-3 to the Over away).
Not gonna be my biggest wager because I’m nervous about two things. First is the health of Alex Smith. He has a calf issue, which has limited his mobility, and he just looks kinda fragile. And if Taylor Heinicke has to come in at some point, Uh oh. The other issue is TB12. Obviously the G.O.A.T. of QBs. His playoff experience is RIDONKULOUS! He has the most wins (30), completions (1,025), passing yards (11,388), TD passes (73), and don’t see him going home just yet. The Bucs come in on fire, winning four in a row, but the teams they beat (Minny, Atlanta twice and Detroit) are all bottom feeders. Thinking Tampa, but not gonna push any chips in because 8.5/9 is too much.
Staff picks:
Checking the Ravens stats, they were 11-5 straight up and 10-5-1 against the spread. They were 5-2-1 ATS on the road and 8-5-1 as a favorite. They went Over 7 times and Under 9 (3-5 to the Under away).
The Titans were 11-5 straight up and 7-9 against the spread. They were 4-4 ATS at home and 3-2 as an underdog. They went Over 12 times and Under 3 with one push (6-1-1 to the Over at home).
You know that we’ve been best betting Baltimore the last couple of weeks, so, why stop now? You can talk about the resurgence of Lamar Jackson down the stretch, leading the Ravens to five straight wins, scoring 34, 47, 40, 27 and 38 points. You can talk about the crazy rushing numbers, gobbling up 404 yards last week with J.K Dobbins becoming another legit weapon. But no one is talking about the defense. You might not believe it, but the Edgar Allan Poe’s have the No. 2 defense in the NFL, just behind the Rams. There’s just one thing left to say. This is my best bet, baby!
Staff picks:
Looking at the Saints, they were 12-4 straight up and 9-6-1 against the spread. They were 4-3-1 ATS at home and 8-6 as a favorite. They went Over 10 times and Under 6 times (6-2 to the Over at home).
The Bears were 8-8 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. They were 5-3 ATS on the road and 7-6 as an underdog. They went Over 8 times and Under 8 (5-3 to the Over away).
Drew Brees understands that his window at the top of the QB charts is starting to close, and that’s why New Orleans comes into the Super Bowl party like a money machine on STEROIDS. The Saints have covered seven of the last eight with one push, and anytime you’re talking about an 88% cover rate, you gotta pay attention. Seeing a bunch of -10 here in Vegas and around the country, and while we expect New Orleans to advance, not interested in laying double digits. However, if you wanna take a drive to Prop City, would recommend the Saints at -3 to win the 1st Q. And if they come out of the locker room at halftime trailing Chicago, pound Brees at any price to win the 3rd Q!
Staff picks:
Looking at the Steelers, they were 12-4 straight up and 10-6 against the spread. They were 5-3 ATS at home and 6-5 as a favorite. They went Over 8 times and Under 7 times with one push (5-3 to the Over at home).
The Browns were 11-5 straight up and 6-10 against the spread. They were 3-5 ATS on the road and 2-3 as an underdog. They went Over 9 times and Under 7 (4-4 to the Over away).
Coulda, woulda, shoulda. This coulda been something for the long-suffering Cleveland fans, but sadly, without head coach Kevin Stefanski calling the plays, gonna have to take a pass. Not saying that it’s exactly the same, but when Clemson lost its offensive coordinator for the College Football Playoffs against Ohio State, the Tigers just seemed DISCOMBOBULATED. Thinking that an NFL team will not suffer as much, but man, it is an issue. These two just played last week, without Big Ben Roethlisberger, and the Brownies squeezed out a 24-22 win. Woulda loved Cleveland in this spot, but without the coach and so many COVID-19 positives surrounding the team, might only lean to the Browns. But gonna wait till Sunday night and get the final injury/COVID-19 list before opening the wallet.
Staff picks:
Ed Barkowitz: 6-9-1, 0-1 (Best Bet)
Les Bowen: 8-7-1, 1-0
Paul Domowitch: 2-13-1, 0-1
Marcus Hayes: 6-9-1, 1-0
Jeff McLane: 7-8-1, 1-0
EJ Smith: 10-5-1, 0-1
Vegas Vic: 8-7-1, 1-0
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January 08, 2021 at 12:25PM
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NFL playoffs picks: Vegas Vic flies high with the Ravens again - The Philadelphia Inquirer
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