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As Coronavirus Restrictions Lift, Millions in U.S. Are Leaving Home Again - The New York Times

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Where people started leaving home again

Percentage point change in the share of people staying home

Note: The map shows the change in the average share of people sheltering at home from May 1 to May 8, compared with the average over the period from March 20 to April 30.

After weeks cooped up at home following governors’ orders to contain the coronavirus outbreak, U.S. residents appear eager to get moving again. As more states began to relax restrictions, about 25 million more people ventured outside their homes on an average day last week than during the preceding six weeks, a New York Times analysis of cellphone data found.

In nearly every part of the country, the share of people staying home dropped, in some places by nearly 11 percentage points.

The surge in movement came as more than half the states started to reopen their economies or had plans to do so soon, despite concerns among public health experts about the possibility of additional waves in new coronavirus infections and deaths as a result.

While it is too early to know whether the increased activity will mean new waves of infection, social distancing has proven one of the most effective means to curb the spread of the virus.

The estimates of the number of people moving were made using data provided by the location analysis company Cuebiq. The data comes from a representative sample of about 15 million smartphone users nationwide who have agreed to share their location data with certain apps, according to the company. Because the sample is only a proportion of the population — and because not everyone in the United States owns a smartphone, or carries one with them everywhere they go — the numbers are estimates.

The share of people staying home varied by state, with some states seeing more significant drops in sheltering.

In places where statewide orders continued to limit peoples’ movements and to close businesses, like New York and New Jersey, more people continued to stay home. In states that had started to slowly reopen, including South Carolina and Florida, a greater share of people ventured out.

Sheltering in states with stay-at-home orders in effect

Note: These states had orders in place though Friday, May 8, but may have since lifted them.

No state saw a larger drop in the share of people staying home last week than Michigan, even though its stay-at-home order remained in place. While half of the state’s residents stayed home on average during the preceding six weeks, that number declined by nearly 11 percentage points last week, as approximately one million people there started moving around again.

Arizona had the smallest drop in the number of people staying home in the country, with a difference of only five percentage points last week compared with its average over the previous six weeks.

Sheltering in states that reopened last week

Note: Stay-at-home orders in these states lifted between May 1 and May 8.

The states whose shutdown orders lifted beginning May 1 saw the share of people staying home drop by as much as nine percentage points last week, but many people still continued to shelter. Tennessee was the only newly reopened state where less than 30 percent of people stayed home.

Sheltering in states that reopened earlier

Note: Stay-at-home orders in these states lifted on or before April 30.

Alaska and Colorado lifted their shutdown orders in late April, and both experienced significant drops in sheltering. Alaska saw the largest increase in residents who decided to leave their homes — about 10 percentage points, or about 73,000 people.

Colorado still had the highest average share of people staying home among reopened states, at 37 percent, or approximately 2.1 million residents. This group also includes Mississippi, where just 26 percent of people stayed home last week on average, the lowest share in the nation.

Sheltering in states that never had stay-at-home orders

Note: These states did not issue statewide orders to stay home but may have had other restrictions in place.

Some states never ordered residents to stay home at all. In none of these states did more than 40 percent of residents consistently stay home.

Sheltering in urban, suburban and rural areas

People living in rural areas often need to travel farther for basic needs such as groceries, and the number of people staying home in these areas was typically less than those in suburban or urban areas. But each saw the share of people sheltering drop by roughly the same amount. The share of people staying home in rural areas last week was only about 8 percentage points more than before the outbreak.

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As Coronavirus Restrictions Lift, Millions in U.S. Are Leaving Home Again - The New York Times
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